Finanse

What to expect of 2024 US presidential elections for gold

US presidential elections set for 5^th November are cherry on the top and grand finale of 2024 – year tightly packed with local, parliamentary and presidential elections held worldwide. But none are perceived as more important than those in US. Especially in times of such extreme polarisation and geopolitical turmoil.

Sixth time’s a charm - Zimbabwean Gold (ZiG)

Unfortunately, African nation of Zimbabwe can’t be perceived as greatest example of financial stability. It is just the opposite – it became a living symbol of modern-day hyperinflation. But could its issues be fixed with newest version of Zimbabwe Dollar? This time backed with gold and FX currencies basket.

Has gold just surpassed Euro as central banking asset?

Dollar is king among assets held by central banks – no doubts about that. Until recently, currency of European Union maintained prestigious second position, however according to some estimations, it seems such just recently changed.

O Bitcoinie, krypto i złocie

Without lengthy, and flamboyant introduction this time – as assets we’ll describe simply don’t need one. Bitcoin and gold. Both became super-hot in 2024. Each has its own different anti-fiat approach. Both have very vocal and often fanatical fan base. And each has simply different story to tell.

Is new gold standard or revaluation incoming?

In an interview held in November 2023, Mr. Aerdt Houben – Director of Financial Markets Division of Dutch central bank (DNB) shared some interesting remarks on how DNB equalized its gold reserves, relative at a rate to Dutch GDP, to other countries of Eurozone and outside of Europe. According to his statement, official gold reserves can be used as foundations for new gold standard. Considering occasion, we’d like then to present two interesting approaches on theoretical gold revaluation.

Ladies and Gentlemen, we got it! - All time high on gold

First quarter of 2024 brought long awaited and expected price breakout on gold, which is on nearly 2200 USD now. Levels which just few year ago would make sceptics to smile ironically. However, great gold price run may seem to be just starting, as economics and financials did build for us, ‘perfect’ combination of factors, which seems to fuel further positive price action.

Five percent of the world changes

How much is it 5%? It’s relative. Have we had 1000 dollars that would be fifty bucks. On equity or commodity markets that would be juicy profit or loss. As a margin for goods manufacturing entity – that is dependable on type of goods and costs occurred – as it will directly impact our EBITDA. On more volatile markets like crypto, that would be just another boring day. But on treasury markets - especially in relation to yield – five percent mean a lot.

Merry Crisis and a Happy New Fear - 2024 outlook, part 1

New Year – new opportunities, expectations and challenges. Considering its 2019 which could be considered as last rather normal year, we’d expect economic, financial, political and geopolitical roller-coaster to continue. And this will continue to impact our lives and investments. However, world didn’t end since and it doesn’t seem to it in the nearest future, and so we must carry on thinking forward. So, what to expect from precious metals in 2024?

We just run out of gold! What next?! – Part 1

What if gold has run out on Earth? No more gold. Es gibt kein gold. No existe el oro. Zołota niet. Złota nie ma - wyszło. In our search for yellow metal, we’re going to travel in time, reach where mankind barely reached so far, discover fascinating world of microorganisms and try to make modern philosophical stone. We’ll step down below Earth’s crust, touch the ocean bottom and look in the stars. So join us in an adventure in search for not-so obvious and hidden gold.

Commentary on the occasion of US debt downgrade and ongoing PM’s correction

Ongoing correction on prices of gold may soon come to an end due to fundamental reasons, cyclicality but also because of new and old but refreshed factors, which we’ll try to describe below. One thing is certain – despite of horizontal moves many assets experienced last months – we do not have reasons to be bored.

Why have Chinese banks disappeared from the LBMA Gold Price Auction?

On 24th October 2023 precious metals analyst – Mr Ronan Manly – noticed that Chinese banks directly participating in LBMA Gold Price Auctions have disappeared of the list. This has not been commented in any way by LBMA and related authorities and for now reminds under shroud of mystery. As for now, this didn’t get sufficient media coverage. Also interested counterparts didn’t release any official statement. So in attempt to understand what happened, we’ll try to examine information and attempt to set it within wider background. Analysis may contain some speculative conclusions.

Boom and bust of BRICS’ gold currency

This August, in Johannesburg, South Africa, BRICS was supposed to present its gold backed currency/token to be used for trade purposes. Or at least some sketch. It showed nothing - to major disappointment of some commentators. So was it nativity to expect ‘grand premiere’, or did BRICS’s project just failed because it is impossible to have gold-backed currency in modern days. Or maybe it was victim of inner-BRICS policies? And could we now finally say now, it is entirely ditched?

Recession outlooks

There are two main approaches helping to understand and determine price of assets. Narrower is microeconomics, which focuses on analysis of markets, entities, politics, government, legislation, demand/supply etc. Other is macroeconomics, which looks at economy as a whole, dealing with such aggregate phenomena as growth in total output and living standards, business cycles, inflation, unemployment etc. Right now both tell us, good times are gone.

Comex silver inventories on fall - what could it mean for white metal?

With regards to silver price, it is Comex inventories usually being discussed as a main price driver. That is both because of certain level of volumes being stored in vaults, but mostly due to fact that Comex is a derivative market, hence amount of open contracts highly exceeds available physical volumes.